Friday, April 15, 2011

Modeling data shows that Telaprevir increases second-phase HCV decline...

Predictive models make me nervous, especially those with the word "new" in front of them because I always think of the one person who might take this study as gospel and actually treat accordingly. But this data, (published online in the journal Hepatology) using a new predictive model, does offer a plausible hypothesis - that the steep decline in the second phase viral clearance is responsible for the shortened duration of therapy with Telaprevir and, assuming high compliance and no resistance, HCV viral particles could be cleared in as little as seven weeks. Compelling, because we've heard of patients who had truncated durations of therapy with Telaprevir + Peg & Riba and still clear virus. Interesting, but again, only a model.

Telaprevir Increases Second-Phase Hepatitis C Decline

Predictive model indicates virus particles could be cleared in seven weeks assuming high compliance


Analysis of the kinetics of telaprevir treatment for hepatitis C virus shows a rapid second-phase viral decline, which may allow for shorter duration of treatment, according to a study published online March 7 in Hepatology.

FRIDAY, April 8 (HealthDay News) -- Analysis of the kinetics of telaprevir treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV) shows a rapid second-phase viral decline, which may allow for shorter duration of treatment, according to a study published online March 7 in Hepatology.

Jeremie Guedj, Ph.D., and Alan S. Perelson, Ph.D., from the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico, examined second-phase HCV viral decline during treatment with telaprevir. Two aspects of telaprevir treatment were investigated: the effect of varying regimens of telaprevir monotherapy in 28 participants, and the comparison of telaprevir monotherapy in eight patients with telaprevir plus interferon therapy in eight patients. Using a new viral kinetic model, and assuming that drug resistance can be avoided, the treatment time needed to eliminate all virus and infected cells was estimated.

The investigators found that the second-phase viral decline was associated with the effectiveness of treatment, and was approximately four times more rapid with telaprevir than interferon-based therapies. In the predictive model, assuming 95 percent of the patients are fully compliant, the last virus particle could be eliminated within seven weeks, and the clearance of remaining infections in the hepatocytes by no more than 10 weeks. This time would be extended if doses were missed.

"Using a new viral kinetic model that allowed for an improved description of the changes in antiviral treatment effectiveness, the second phase of viral decay was found to be very rapid compared with second phases observed in patients treated with interferon alone, with no differences according to the treatment regimen," the authors write.

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